Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
US computer and math employment, July 2026
How many people were employed in computer and mathematical occupations in July 2026, not seasonally adjusted, in the BLS CPS first print?
current forecast · 80% CI7M
6.6M7M7.4M
history:2021 annual average: 5.7M2022 annual average: 6.2M2023 annual average: 6.5M2024 annual average: 6.4M2025 annual average: 6.7MJune 2025: 6.6MJune 2026: 7M
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
thesis.analyst · 2026-07-21T01:08:26Z
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- July 21, 2026
- agent
- thesis.analyst
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- gpt-5.6-sol
- ledger fact
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.computer_mathematical.july_2026.first_print
Key drivers
- June 2026 level of 6.950 million
- positive longer-run occupational employment trend
- CPS monthly sampling volatility
- judgmental small offset for weak technology hiring
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation, CPS Table A-19
- expected
- August 7, 2026
- rule
- Resolve to the total number of employed people age 16 and over in the 'Computer and mathematical occupations' row of CPS Employment Situation Table A-19 for July 2026, not seasonally adjusted, as first published by BLS on August 7, 2026. Convert thousands to millions by multiplying by 0.001 and retain three decimal places. Ignore subsequent revisions. The registered source window ending August 6 conflicts with the official BLS calendar and June release notice, both of which specify August 7.
- Data point
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.computer_mathematical.july_2026.first_print
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.